First I want to mention that I see the above statement in the long-term. Of course Microsoft won't vanish tomorrow.
Here are my main reasons for my claim:
Microsoft is relying an cash-cows and so can't change
Microsoft is not able to be successful in new fields
Microsoft's competitors have adopted a robuster business model
The problem for Microsoft with their cash-cows is that they can't pursue a new application and business models that endanger their existing software like Office or Windows. The Web versions of their office suite, for example is very restricted that it does not cannibalize the original. Their competitors, like Google, don't have this handicap.
On the other hand, Microsoft is not able to launch new products that earn money. Their internet activities are very expensive, the X-Box doesn't get revenues and the Zune-Player is a flop. That will be a big issue in the future.
Last their competitors of their cash-cows are open source software. It's hard to beat free in the long run, if you need to sell your product. Linux and Open Office don't need a price tag, their makers earn money with service agreements and share the development costs. This is a completely new situation for Microsoft, normally they pushed their competitors away. Look Netscape, IBM with OS/2 or Star Office, but against OSS this is just not possible. You might say Microsoft is still making a lot of money with its OS and its office suite. That is right, but things are going to change, look for example at the EeePC. This thing is selling very well and it runs on Linux and uses Open Office. My opinion is that this trend will intensify.
I think the only chance for Microsoft to survive in the long run is that it reinvents itself. It may be unlikely that they will earn so much money again like they do today, but we will see. The first war about browsers has already started…
I want to write a little series about how I use Ubuntu and what I got used to speed up my work with Ubuntu. This article is written for people who have just migrated to Ubuntu or Linux and as well for more experienced users. These series is based on my personal experience. The first episode will be about Gnome-Do. Gnome-Do speeds up my work like no second application. At most, the command line is as useful for me.
First you have to install Gnome-Do. First you have to add ## gnome-do deb http://ppa.launchpad.net/do-core/ubuntu hardy main deb-src http://ppa.launchpad.net/do-core/ubuntu hardy main to your "/etc/apt/sources.list". After that you type in the commandline: sudo aptitude update sudo aptitude install gnome-do gnome-do-plugins
To open the folder "Businessplan" (screenshot) on my computer I just have to press WIN+Space, type "bus" and then hit Enter. Boom, the folder opens immediately. The same way you can start programs, twitter, create Tomboy-Notes and much more. Best you add Gnome-Do to your autostart today. Discover the opportunities and rock Ubuntu today.
Rockiger is the idea to give Hackers and Geeks an instrument they can play with. A Rockiger Laptop should be loved by its owner as Jimi loved his guitar. As you know nothing works without love. To build such a laptop while having a lot of fun on this magic carpet ride is the declared goal of Rockiger.
Who is Rockiger?
At the moment Rockiger consist of an idea, the will to change something and myself. My name is Marco Laspe. I live in Germany in a city called Wiesbaden. I like to play tennis, love 80s Metal and would like to get a new dog. Besides, I want to change the world and this is the beginning.
What's in it for you?
Finally, it's getting interesting. You are the right place, if you are a Hacker or a Geek or you just want to have a really cool laptop, one that rocks, in the future. I will blog about any progress here.
You want to change world, too?
If you want to change the world, just call me: here, here or here. I need your help!